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By Landon Manning
New data from blockchain research firm Blockware Solutions pointed to a series of strong omens to suggest that Bitcoin may be nearing the end of its downward trajectory in the immediate future.
As long-time participants in the Bitcoin community are well aware, the crypto space can be extremely volatile at the best of times (for better or worse), and both major spikes and pitfalls can appear or melt away with little or no warning. By way of explanation. Nevertheless, the overall trend of Bitcoin’s value since its inception shows a steady rise in its value.
Although the global Covid-19 pandemic ended its first year with an absolute bonanza for Bitcoin; Look at its price It spiked and spiked again in 2017 to more than triple its previous peak, this situation will not last forever. Ultimately, prices fell in the fourth quarter of 2021 and throughout 2022, generally surpassing the 2017 peak. Prices level off in the winter of 2022 and then decline again on several occasions, but this new research suggests that the price cycle may finally bottom out.
Blockware Intelligence is a subsidiary of Blockware Solutions Published Its 2023 market forecast in early December points to a variety of conditions that could lead to future growth in the current crypto space. As one of the most infamous signals, Blackware pointed to the rapid decline of several major crypto companies in the wake of the FTX explosion, including Celsius, BlackFi, and others.
But one of the key points the report focuses on is the difference in perceived value (RP) between short-term holders (STH) and long-term holders (LDH), which has been tracked in several consistent patterns throughout history. Bitcoin. Due to the “hodler” ethos in the community, a large number of users tend to put money into Bitcoin and hold it there indefinitely, meaning that LTH RP shows a consistent history of little volatility and tidy profits. However, STH RP is made up of users who see Bitcoin as an investment to earn more dollars, engaging in practices such as day trading and altcoin speculation. This figure is not only highly erratic, but also shows a steady trend that is always underwater, mainly relative to the actual price of Bitcoin.
As Blackware’s report shows, each time the price of long-term holders puts them at a loss, it goes with a price floor before the price rises once again. As this has been going on for over a decade with Bitcoin, Blackware predicts that it’s down again. The report suggests, among other things, that the growing momentum in Bitcoin’s on-chain users could turn out to be a big boost due to these and other factors, potentially planting the seeds of the next bull market.
Ultimately, despite the various statistics that may or may not lead to another year of growth for Bitcoin, the community as a whole knows not to get too hung up on such predictions. It’s true, Bitcoin’s boom is good for the entire community, and new investment opportunities will lead to growth, but at the end of the day, Bitcoin is durable enough to withstand many setbacks. The entire world of international cryptocurrency has forged a path on the back of Bitcoin; Combating strict anti-regulation and frequent accidents reported as dream deaths. And yet, despite all of this, Bitcoin will survive and endure, and it will take cryptocurrency as its true leader in the near future.
The views and opinions expressed herein are those of the author and those of Nasdaq, Inc.
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